Analysis: The fragile cease-fire between the US and Iran has not solved the shipping dilemma, and there is still no specific information on the resumption of shipping

Comparative news is that although the fragile cease-fire agreement between the US and Iran once caused oil prices to plummet, shipping in the Strait of Hormuz was still blocked on Thursday, and traffic conditions in the region have not improved. Only 7 ships with certain ties to Iran were observed leaving the Persian Gulf on Wednesday. Iran's state media reported that in order to show Tehran's efforts to officially control the waterways, Iran's ports and the International Maritime Organization have issued two safe shipping routes. There may be various anti-ship mines on conventional routes through this narrow strait, so these routes are necessary.

Martin Kelly, head of consulting at EOS Risk Group, said that rediscussing the landmine problem in the Strait of Hormuz is “the worst situation in the shipping industry”. If the route of the traffic plan normally used by ships is mined, it will take at least a few months to restore safe traffic. The industry organization International Shipping Association said that more work is needed before ships can pass on a large scale again. Thomas Kazakos, Secretary General of the Association, said that there is currently not much movement because no reliable confirmation has been received on ensuring safe passage, nor has it received any specific information on how to return traffic to normal.