9-month net profit of $1000W, trading principles, experience and lessons

sourceSevenUp DAO·SevenUpDAO·15:44 编辑
9-month net profit of $1000W, trading principles, experience and lessons

Source: SevenUp DAO
Original link: https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/bPqH0dSrnzaoFP0TflMJQw


Currently, the profit of our real coin contract is close to 10M USD. The profit of the new 3-month real market was 6.3M USD, and the individual record of 7.5M won the first place in the team in this Binance League trading competition.

But in reality, my experience is not only at the technical level of contract trading. The purpose of writing this article is to teach people to fish”. People don't want anything in return; hopefully, it's enough to actually help some confused people.

Realistically speaking, if you are used to the “fish” given by others and don't want to improve yourself, it is likely that it will be difficult for you to mix up the path of trading and get results.


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1. 40,000 ETH bits


In fact, the net profit calculated from the 7.5M take-profit of the ETH-LONG contract this time was around 5M USD, but close to 10M of capital was used.

Many people wonder why the whole network is criticizing the weak trend of ETH and going to a new low, and I still launched 40,000 ETH positions to go long. Of course, I'm not going to gamble with this position. Part of my judgment was that it was actually posted on Binance Square a long time ago, ignoring environmental noise based on a number of factors:

  • The ETF's net inflow performance for more than ten days surpassed that of BTC;

  • After Grayscale Pledged Equity ETF 6.2, the SEC may produce results at any time, and there is potential for insertion;

  • The daily level of ETH has risen dramatically. Combined with ETF and other indicators, the ETH/BTC ratio line has directly declined compared to others, and it is likely that there will be a chance for a further rebound;

  • Short-term market sentiment is stronger than other coins, and often conveys a sense of eagerness;

  • The monthly position of ETH is still weaker than that of all other coins (BNB/SOL). The daily level did not fall below the low level. Had BTC not fallen below 102000 during the period, allowing the main players to find an opportunity to pin 2380, ETH would rise even earlier;

  • I've always been posting that ETH needs to see if BTC can stabilize, because this round of ETH was brought about by a new high in BTC rather than making up for a strong rise in ETH fundamentals. It's a pure buying logic similar to ETF, and the fundamentals of GWEI on the chain are still at zero. Including ETH rushing to 2,850 this time, it also reached a situation where BTC did not stand at 11W. If it stands at 11W, then it is very likely that it will rise to 3000 in a wave, but it is difficult to reach new highs;

  • If everyone can clearly see the direction of the trend, then why are few people in this circle making money?

In addition, in addition to this order, in the first half of May, I earned 1 M USD by using only 300 KUSD to catch the limit of 5 to 6 waves. Full actual records can be checked on Binance Plaza and CoinCoin Software. This is a limited-price order+supplementary sheet method. It is more worth implementing when I talk about the details below.


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Record of the original post posted on X


II. On-chain investment


In fact, for many friends with small capital, my recommendation is that the early benefits of on-chain opportunities will far outweigh contract transactions. The chain has always been the best place to be small and big. All you have to do is get hold of it faster than others, take good care of the logo, and hit the bad information. (For example, the core of Vida's formula play is also the speed at which information is earned)

You have accumulated a certain amount of principal to make contract transactions that generate considerable profits for you, and have enough positions to fill your positions, so it's not easy to get in trouble. If you only get one chance, you'll be a loser in contract trading.

There are even many KOLs that don't publicly trade contracts and only play with spot goods. I think it's a very wise choice for most people. There are too few contracts to get out of, and there are too many things to overcome and too many rules to abide by.

For me, my self-made funding also comes from on-chain, 21year GameFi/23year BRC-20/24 Meme. You can learn a lot of experience and knowledge about changing topics on the chain, intense research, and bookmaker risk games.

Today's topic is contract trading, but I will also briefly share a summary and reflection on some of the hot spots on the chain in this cycle

ETH's on-chain fundamentals, Gwei, are currently at zero, which is one of the main factors behind the weak overall performance of ETH. But I still have a feeling for the future of the chain. If there are interesting DEFI paradigms and gameplay in the future, everyone is also welcome to recommend them to me. I will do research to share and improve my views


III. Entering the topic: Principles/experiences/lessons of contract trading


1. Position control, never lose chips, stay on the table

The detail is to observe the token price fluctuation rate and bottoming area. For example, if BTC fluctuates only 10% in a month, it is OK to play 30 times in the short term; 2% fluctuation of more than 5x in one minute is dangerous.

Develop the habit of managing positions with segmented entry;

Make a habit of making a stop-loss order to prevent black swans before going to bed;

Full-time debt trading is strongly discouraged;

At this point, your psychological stress will make it harder for you to overcome your human weaknesses; it's a losing card in trading.

It is recommended that you first repay your loans with a down-to-earth formal job and career. Raise your awareness during this period, use your spare money to invest, learn to be friends with time, and don't worry. If you don't succeed at age 30, wait at age 35, wait 40, and plan your life with courage.

2. Know yourself and know each other, fight a hundred times without fear

My habit is multi-factor judgment, and I have sufficient understanding of all the macro news/trends/underlying fundamentals of the currency.

For example, when I posted an obvious shorting strategy on CoinCoin on 6/13, I threw out all my research-based perceptions and various potential changes, and how I implemented the segmentation strategy. Even though Tencent's takeover expectations were very strong that day, I also fully disclosed the underlying logic. Chunming was shorting in batches. I mainly wanted to do the same. Under normal circumstances, it is necessary to wait until the expected purchasing power of the acquisition weakens before entering the market.


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This kind of perception-based trading is still weak even if the market pulls back today.


3. Taking profit and stopping loss is as important as judging trends, and is a core trading quality

  • Profit: Basically, everyone will lose money because of the pattern. The expected profit from your position must be settled in a timely manner, and you will never regret selling or missing out. This is a reflection of your mature trading system;

  • Upside loss: A loss of 10% requires an increase of 11%, and a loss of 90% requires a 10-fold increase;


4. After mastering basic knowledge, do more practical work, find your own profit formula, and use your strengths

Ultra short, short, band band line, on-chain, long term. In situations where you often generate profit, you should self-summarize the elements, use time to verify accuracy, seize the format you are good at to create profit, and don't play with things you don't understand or learn from Kokura.

Those who like to watch K-line drawings and various indicators are only suitable for BTC/ETH with no special message effects. Mountain racing is basically useless, and the concentration of chips can easily be used as a toy by the main players.

However, these trading indicators and macro indicators are all recommended for learning to assist in judging macro trends and key areas. There are some bloggers on Twitter that I follow with high quality content, such as Current Affairs News - PhyreX/K Line Indicator - Crypto_Painter/Xiaobai is worth watching - SOL I can't understand, etc.


5. Be patient, wait for the best hitting point, and develop a psychological expectation of slowly becoming rich

The limited-price order flow is more recommended than the market-price billing stream

It is highly recommended to place price limit orders at various points that seem impossible to reach in the short term after learning how to judge points. This kind of reception is often full of big meat, and the daily win rate is extremely high.

I've seen too many random billing and PVP thinking about getting rich overnight, and I've taken them all away. You must learn to be friends with time. The 8% annualization of traditional finance is amazing. Do you find it difficult to aim for a stable 30% without bursting out positions? For example, BTC has been in stock 7 times since 23 years. The 3-4 year blockchain supercycle is perfect for people with a lot of money to play.

“Find ways to bill for small opportunities rather than just to make money


6. Avoid reverse trend orders for affected tokens

For example, even if TRUMP's market capitalization is very high, I won't go empty, because TRUMP's call lists will pop up at any time, just like this TOP HOLDER party

For example, even if there is a huge difference in the fundamentals of ETH's on-chain data, GWEI was almost 0: I didn't make short orders during this period, because the results came out anytime after the Grayscale equity staking ETF 6.2, and the BlackRock ETF had a huge net inflow for ten days;

For example, news of TRX's IPO was released. First, determine whether the source is true or false, and whether there is a possibility of a reversal. Once there is a possibility of reversing and refuting rumors, it will not be easy to enter the market


7. Coins that are not affected by the incident and are not on the gain/decline list

I like to imagine a token that has increased by more than 50%-100% a day to eat meat in reverse. In fact, 90% of people lose, because you can't hold this kind of volatility, and the bookmaker forcibly controls and draws lines at will.

The best way is for you to observe the historical data of the target site and observe the MM style and cycle frequency. Cyclical surges and falls often occur basically in the main MM band. You can ambush in the bottom-building zone, rather than chase after the sharp rise.

If it rises to a negative rate of more than -2% and the settlement is made in 1 hour, the higher win rate at this point will be greater than that of an empty order. However, in this situation, you should also be careful when the spot continues to rise and the contract falls by 0I. This knowledge is very deep and needs to be discussed later.

In addition, there are also coins that are about to be released from the stock market; most of them are empty; if the exchange is destroyed, they will pay the opponent's market money, so they will go sideways until they are removed from the market and liquidated. (Once in the first two months)


8. Binance spot SGD short orders have a 90% win rate strategy

My coin Coin posted the following strategy, or you can learn Mu Chuan's matrix empty gameplay on Twitter to short the entire altcoin. A lot of people enjoy the picture, but in reality, judging from the data, it's completely effective.


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9. Any expert player, including mine, can only be used as a trend reference; it cannot be used as a basis or long-term judgment for you to go to Stud.

10. On the basis of 3, when you have an absolute grasp and a good position, forget 1 and stick to 2. When it's time to do stud, it's a stud.

11. There is no genius in contract trading

Me included, and neither.

I'm just someone who fell and climbed back up countless times. (Do you feel a lot of confidence)

From 2022 to now, I have 70 Binance LiquidationCall emails alone in my email


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PS: Unfortunately, I'm still a genius. Because “Confident, Calm, and Decisive”


But next, I'll introduce my original “liquidation flow” to make bursting valuable.

My liquidation order falls into three situations:

① Using a small amount of money to play around with the market and labeling of all situations, confronting the market/bookmaker head-on, and exploring the underlying logic and main motivations and benefits, these liquidations helped me summarize many valuable experiences.

When I look at any situation, even a very clear situation, it can be divided into many possibilities, and I can cope with any kind of situation. (It also makes sense to set a black swan stop loss before bedtime)

For example, you can see my real trading 5/22 at 01:00 UTC+8. BTC continues to reach new highs, but the needle that was inexplicably inserted in reverse with ETH. I received a heavy 5MU position at an average price of 2468, making a profit of 3MU at a high of 2730 (unfortunately that wave didn't stop profit; it was my biggest mistake this year)

But this operation of receiving the needle is the result of my valuable experience turning it into me, plus the limited-price order flow recommended earlier. It's more representative than the next few low points because BTC was always skyrocketing at the time

② If you have a large position order, open a “100X Paper Reverse Order”, which is specially used to sacrifice God by bursting the position.


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Do you always feel like it's easiest to close a position as soon as you open a high ratio? Then open a reverse 100X paper sheet

Do you always feel like you're losing more and winning less? Then open a few more 100X reverse paper sheets

There's an old saying, do what you do, listen to fate.

Once we use all the technology we can use, what else can we do?

Then manually balance your own fortune, and you can calculate your wins and losses according to the number of times.

So why don't you sacrifice a few reverse paper slips to increase your chances of winning the main order?

A salute to the law of conservation of energy!

12. Become a great trader

Some people may think that traders who have earned hundreds of thousands, millions, and tens of millions of dollars are successful traders, and even praise and worship the giant whale James Wynn's actions

I can't agree.

When a person embarks on the path of trading, they don't think of themselves as the proud son of the future, carefully understand their ability bottlenecks, and set reasonable expectations. Whether you have earned 100,000, 200,000, or 500,000 through hard work, as long as you actually improve your life, you can make the family around you live a better life.

In my eyes, that's a successful, great trader

After all, as long as your USDT is still in your account balance

“Then this order hasn't been closed yet.”

I wish you success, trader.


Original Link
#SevenUp DAO
说明: All Bitpush articles reflect the author's views only and do not constitute investment advice.

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