US CFTC warns to predict the market: ban “bet 100 to earn how much” betting odds

Comparatively, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) recently sent a letter to regulated platforms requesting that the forecast market stop using American-style “money line” odds. The so-called “money line” is a common “+/-” format in gambling — for example, “+200” means betting $100 to win $200, and “-150” means you need to bet $150 to win $100.

According to the CFTC, this statement is deceptive and induces users to view it as gambling rather than an investment. Research shows that such odds tend to encourage risk-taking. CFTC Chairman Selig recently pushed for the agency's exclusive jurisdiction over the prediction market and sued multiple states to maintain its position. Kalshi said it would cooperate with the rectification, but Polymarket did not respond. Currently, the dispute over jurisdiction between prediction markets and state-level gaming laws continues.