经济 · 24557

Iran says the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed

Comparing news, the secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council said that Tehran will not give in to economic pressure from the US and that the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed until Washington fulfills its promises.

1m ago

Polygon Plans to Advance Staking and Token Economy Reform Proposals

Comparing news, Polygon co-founder Sandeep Nailwal said that in response to community calls, the team is advancing proposals for staking and token economy reforms. He revealed that Polygon's revenue has increased tenfold this year, has delivered 5k TPS, reduced block generation time by 25%, and is moving towards less than 1 second block generation time. Now it's the stakers' turn to get their due share. Key points of the proposal include: launching L1-like native staking on Polygon PoS, which can be used in parallel with Ethereum staking; priority fees for each transaction will go to POL stakers (PIP-85 has been approved; native staking can make implementation simpler); staking revenue is expected to nearly double, supported by real network fees rather than inflation; staking POL may receive additional incentives such as discounted gas fees; and SPOL remains liquid and can be used in DeFi. Polygon Labs will write the code and submit the proposal to the community forum for consideration.

1m ago

Walsh will speak in Jackson Hole for the first time as Chairman of the Federal Reserve

Comparatively speaking, Federal Reserve Chairman Walsh will speak at the Jackson Hole Annual Economic Conference on August 27. Investors are expecting him to clarify the Federal Reserve's strategy for dealing with stubborn inflation, but it is uncertain whether he will make a clear statement. Walsh did not disclose his economic views after the July policy meeting, and long-term bond yields climbed to a 20-year high as a result.

1m ago

The global bond market is currently selling off, and the scale of panda bond issuance has reached a record high

Comparative news. According to CCTV financial reports, the yield on long-term treasury bonds of the world's major economies has continued to rise recently, and the sell-off pressure on the bond market is heating up. However, the Chinese bond market and exchange rate have maintained a relatively smooth operation, and the scale of panda bond issuance has reached a record high for the same period in history. According to the data, as of August 21, the cumulative issuance scale of panda bonds in 2026 reached 209.975 billion yuan, an increase of over 73% over the previous year. Against the backdrop of drastic fluctuations in global bond markets, international institutions are increasing domestic RMB financing, drawing attention. According to industry insiders, we are in a completely different economic and monetary cycle than overseas. Foreign capital accounts for only about 5%-8% of China's bond market, and domestic capital has absolute pricing power. Combined with our monetary policy, we insist that I am the main focus, and overseas shocks cannot reverse the overall trend of the domestic bond market. Looking ahead to the future market, industry insiders believe that the yield on overseas bonds is likely to remain high, the allocation value of RMB bonds is prominent, and the medium to long term may welcome a continuous increase in foreign capital allocation. However, it is also important to note that higher yields on US bonds have raised the return threshold for global allocated funds, and may disrupt the will of overseas institutions to increase their holdings of RMB bonds. Furthermore, the rapid rise in bond yields in overseas developed countries may also limit domestic risk asset valuations.

3h ago

Analyst: Trump's economic isolation plan could trigger Iran to launch attacks across the Persian Gulf

Comparing the news, analysts said that US President Trump is trying to achieve the unattainable goal of tens of thousands of bombs and missiles through a new round of sanctions, maritime blockades, and increased economic pressure on Iran's trading partners — forcing Iran to end the war on terms proposed by the US. However, there is a fatal blockage in this old path of forcing Iran to follow suit: the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran has actually taken control of the Strait of Hormuz and has launched a large number of attack drones in the direction of the Persian Gulf. The Revolutionary Guard is basically immune to economic pressure, and it also has plenty of means of retaliation. The key point in America's round of action is Monday, when Treasury Secretary Bezent will announce the details of a new plan. The plan is to shift the method of conflict from mutual air raids in the Middle East region to complete economic isolation. However, once the new economic pressure actually works, Iran is likely to use military strikes back and forth, targeting energy facilities along the Persian Gulf coast in an attempt to push up oil prices and raise America's operational costs, and force Trump to change course again.

3h ago

Arthur Hayes Reminder: FLOP has not been released yet, and there are no presales or meme coins

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes wrote a reminder that Flop Labs has not yet issued FLOP tokens, and there are no pre-sales or meme coins. Hayes stated that FLOP is not officially launched yet, and reminded the community not to mistake related tokens appearing on the market for official assets. He said Flop Labs is expected to launch an airdrop in the next few months and plans to launch the mainnet next year. According to previous public information, the project had previously planned a large-scale airdrop in the fourth quarter of 2026, and the target time for the main network Genesis block is the first quarter of 2027. Hayes previously announced that he will be leading Flop Labs, a project aimed at building economic infrastructure for AI agents, and FLOP will be designed as a native asset for AI agents to pay for resources such as computing power and storage.

10h ago

Next week's macro outlook: US and Iran sanctions, Jackson Hole, PCE, and Nvidia's earnings report are coming in four major variables. The gold sword points to $4,700

Comparing news, the global market will face multiple risk events next week. The escalation of US and Iran sanctions, Federal Reserve Chairman Walsh's debut at the Jackson Hole World Central Bank Annual Meeting, the release of PCE inflation data in the US for July, and the disclosure of Nvidia's earnings report may become core variables affecting risk asset trends. This week, the sharp rise in US long-term bond yields raised market concerns. After the Treasury expanded the scale of long-term US bond repurchases, the pressure on the bond market eased somewhat, but investors are still concerned about the US fiscal deficit, inflation, and developments in the Middle East. Driven by US debt sustainability concerns, the weakening dollar, and the Treasury Department's expansion of the US bond repurchase program, spot gold surpassed 4,600 US dollars/ounce this week, rising for the third consecutive week, and hit a high of around $4,632 on Friday. Analysts believe that if gold effectively breaks through $4,600, the next target may be at $4680 or even $4,700. Next week, the US-Iran relationship will be the primary focus of the market. US Treasury Secretary Bessent said that the Trump administration will announce new sanctions against Iran on Monday. Trump previously warned that any country providing support to Iran could face economic consequences. Meanwhile, transportation activities in the Strait of Hormuz continue to be blocked, and energy supply risks are driving crude oil to rise continuously. On the Federal Reserve side, the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Annual Meeting will be held from August 27th to 29th, and Federal Reserve Chairman Walsh will deliver his first speech on August 28. The market is concerned about whether it will release future interest rate path signals and whether it can ease recent pressure on the US bond market. Currently, the market expects that the probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September has declined, and traders will focus on Walsh's statement on the 2% inflation target, long-term interest rate, and monetary policy framework. In terms of economic data, the US core PCE price index for July will be released next week. This is the inflation indicator that the Federal Reserve is focusing on. The market expects core PCE to rise 0.2% month-on-month. If the data is higher than expected, it may weaken expectations of interest rate cuts and put pressure on gold; if it falls short, it may further drive the rise of precious metals. In addition, revised US second-quarter GDP values, durable goods orders, consumer confidence index, and revised non-farm payroll benchmark data will also be released one after another next week. On the corporate side, Nvidia's (NVDA) earnings report will be the focus of the US stock market. Technology stocks have recently been under pressure. The Nasdaq index fell about 2% this week, and the semiconductor sector fell by more than 4%. The market will focus on Nvidia's continued investment in AI infrastructure, the progress of Rubin chips, and the state of business in China. Analysts believe that if Nvidia's performance continues to strengthen AI growth expectations, it may become an important catalyst for the S&P 500 index to hit 8,000 points; if performance or guidance falls short of expectations, it may increase the pressure on technology stocks to adjust.

11h ago

Trump's 50% tariff hits Canada, and the Carney administration accelerates the reduction of economic dependence on the US

Comparatively, US President Trump's 50% tariff on some Canadian goods came into effect this week, once again intensifying trade tension between the US and Canada, pushing the Canadian government to speed up the search for alternative markets, expand domestic trade, and promote large-scale infrastructure projects to reduce dependence on the US economy. Currently, about 70% of Canada's exports go to the US, and the economies of the two countries are highly tied. The tariff measures previously imposed by the United States on the automobile, steel, aluminum, and timber sectors have put pressure on the Canadian manufacturing industry, leading to some job losses and a slowdown in economic growth. Canada's economy even contracted for two consecutive quarters this year, falling into a technical recession. The latest round of 50% tariffs involves about 20 billion US dollars of Canadian exports to the US, accounting for about 5.5% of Canada's total exports to the US, covering products such as hockey sticks and cement. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said that Canada will take equal tariff countermeasures to protect domestic enterprises and employment. The market is concerned that Trump previously refused to renew the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) exemption arrangement, bringing the trade agreement into the annual review stage. Analysts believe that the removal of some trade protections by the US may lay the risk of further expanding tariff measures. Faced with trade pressure, the Carney administration is promoting economic diversification. In recent years, Canada has strengthened economic and trade cooperation with China, India, Saudi Arabia and European countries, and promoted the expansion of exports to non-US markets. According to the data, Canada's exports to non-US markets increased by 11% in 2025, reaching 33% at one point, the highest level in more than 40 years. Furthermore, Canada is strengthening its domestic economy, including reducing inter-provincial trade barriers, promoting port expansion, developing critical mineral resources, and supporting energy infrastructure construction. The government plans to invest 115 billion Canadian dollars (about 83 billion US dollars) in infrastructure funds over the next few years, and a defense budget of 82 billion Canadian dollars.

12h ago

FT: The economy was under pressure in the Trump era, oil prices rose at the same time as mortgage interest rates, and US debt surpassed $40 trillion

Comparing news, the Financial Times article said that the Trump administration's economic policy is facing multiple pressures: US federal debt has surpassed 40 trillion US dollars, long-term US bond yields have risen to a 19-year high, the Iran war has driven up energy prices, and mortgage interest rates have continued to rise. This week, the US long-term treasury bond market experienced sharp fluctuations. Investors are driving long-term US bond yields higher due to concerns about the expansion of government borrowing and the risk of inflation brought about by the war. US Treasury Secretary Bezent then announced an expansion of the long-term treasury bond repurchase program and plans to introduce measures to reduce the fiscal deficit, but the market response was limited, and the US dollar weakened. According to the data, the size of the US government debt surpassed 40 trillion US dollars for the first time this week, and the growth rate of federal spending reached the fastest level since the pandemic. The US fiscal deficit fell only slightly to 5.8% of GDP in FY2025, and Trump's tax cuts are expected to further increase fiscal pressure in the future. On the energy side, the US-Iran conflict is driving up fuel prices in the US. The price of gasoline rose by about 40% from before the war, to $4.11 per gallon; the price of diesel rose to $5.58 per gallon. Rising energy costs have weakened Trump's previous policy goals of reducing living costs and energy prices. The housing market was also under pressure, and interest rates on 30-year US mortgages rose to 6.65%, up from 5.98% before the war broke out. Meanwhile, consumer inflation in the US rose to a three-year high of 4.2% in May and fell back to 3.4% in July, but Federal Reserve officials are still worried that inflationary pressure continues. Although the US economy is still supported by consumer spending and AI infrastructure investment by big tech companies, the growth rate is below the government's previous target. The annualized growth rate of US GDP in the second quarter of 2026 was about 1.5%, lower than the previously proposed growth forecast of 3% or more. Market participants believe that high debt, high financing costs, and rising energy prices are weakening consumer confidence and may become important political pressures facing the Trump administration. Bessent said that the US is still expected to improve its fiscal situation through economic growth.

13h ago

UK Inland Revenue and Customs: 8.1 million encrypted tax warning letters were issued in the past 12 months, the number increased by 25%

Comparatively, the UK Revenue and Customs Service (HMRC) has issued 81,000 warning letters to cryptocurrency investors suspected of not paying taxes in the past 12 months, an increase of 25% over the previous year's approximately 65,000. The purpose of such letters is to induce the recipient to disclose unpaid taxes before HMRC initiates a formal investigation. Cryptocurrency exchanges, the use of tokens to buy goods or services, and the transfer of tokens to others may all constitute taxable dispositions. Income tax rules may apply to income from borrowing, pledging, etc., and UK residents are generally required to pay taxes on relevant income and earnings worldwide. The rules, which are scheduled to be implemented in April 2027, will apply no-profit and no-loss treatment to eligible crypto loans and automated market-making arrangements until economic disposition occurs, which is expected to affect approximately 700,000 people. The crypto asset reporting framework requires service providers to submit 2026 transaction data for the reporting period from January 1 to May 31, 2027. It is anticipated that 52 jurisdictions will exchange relevant data in 2027, with 15 more in 2028.

14h ago