How can artificial intelligence make people lose jobs and make money?
Mr. Chu Ka-ming's article “Artificial Intelligence is Transforming Economics and Economics” is very good and inspired us to think about artificial intelligence from an economic perspective. AI (artificial intelligence) will inevitably replace a large number of people, causing massive unemployment. But at the same time, it also brings opportunities to small companies and individuals that have never been seen before.
Zhu Jiaming said, “1. Artificial intelligence has completely changed the subject of economic activity as we originally understood it. 2. Artificial intelligence has transformed the infrastructure of traditional economic activity. 3. Artificial intelligence has changed the composition of factors of production.”
Since the advent of computers, factors of production and infrastructure have been changing, and it is not surprising that this change is mentioned. The most critical point is the first point in the statement. In other words, artificial intelligence, like humans, has a dominant position in economic activity. So what is the relationship between humans and robots?
Names for people include nobility, free people, slaves, and citizens. Do robots have citizenship rights? Who can represent the power of robots? Should it have human rights or not? It's scary to keep thinking like this. But these are still far away.
The question that affects us the most is: Will I lose my job?
Zhu Jiaming said, “Strictly speaking, no one dares to say that their job will not be replaced by artificial intelligence today. Not only ordinary workers, engineers, and even scientists are included in the category of being replaced to a certain extent.” And all of this is within the scope of the law, and it scared the baby to death.
The reason robots replace humans is that they have high productivity, which is so high that all human knowledge cannot be achieved by a single person; since robots can not be consumed, the cost is extremely low, and the cost of use is almost zero. Big tech companies understand this the most, and they began layoffs early on. Musk's secretary asked for a salary increase. As a result, Musk gave her a two-week vacation and got laid off when she came back. Because her job was replaced by a “smart tool.”
We don't know what AI will replace, but we can know what won't. If it is not replaced, it will be re-valued.
Humans themselves won't be replaced. What assets can we own, can robots own? Seems like it won't work. It's a human plus
We can have lots of robots, can we fire robots, can robots fire us? Seems like an uncertain question. It's also a human plus.
Humans have the ability to spend, and robots don't. This is also a plus for humans.
Relationship ability, can robots establish their own group relationships? Robots have a network relationship, which cannot be understood as a group relationship. If not, communities made of people would exist. How can robots build their own communities? There is no organization without a community, and no individual, no matter how powerful, is an organization's rival.
Manufacturing capacity. Robots are always subordinate. Even in fully automated production lines, autonomous robots with dangerous operations are still controlled by humans.
The ability to learn has many advantages. Not a human plus.
Thinking ability, including deep thinking and reasoning ability, is a plus for people.
The ability to innovate, including imagination, is also a plus for humans.
There are also non-economic factors, such as morality, belief, and self-control, which are all human bonuses and are not discussed in this article.
Through discussion, we can rest assured that humans still have a huge advantage over robots until 2045. Artificial intelligence is still just our advanced tool.
The current relationship between humans and robots is like the relationship between slaves and slave owners.
In other words, the more slaves of every skill a slave owner hires, the more powerful they are. Slaves also consume; robots don't. If we think of a company as a slave owner, it is clear that the amount of robots it uses is an indicator to measure its company. This indicator is quantifiable.
The social networking app Discoard has 650 employees. The software is really bad. They don't understand social networking at all, and they can't match the level of WeChat and Douyin. The biggest feature is that there are various robots. One of them is a smart mapping software called Midjourney, which only has 11 people. The two companies had the same turnover of $100 million last year. If this software is made independent, developed further, and added to a large number of apps, it is obvious that doing this job is a sales job. This type of salesperson can be part-time. In other words, in addition to maintaining our own systems, we can also maintain the same systems of other companies. How to find such a part-time job? Join the midjourney community to find people who need help. Although it's still very elementary, the community will improve.
Achieving part-time and passive income through the community isBitcoinThe biggest challenge that came after it appeared. It challenges the corporate system. Taking a fixed wage seems out of place in the age of artificial intelligence. The Bitcoin community is also very rudimentary, and it is still a technical community. On top of that, improving the community system will have more vitality. Something like Midjourney was invented in the US. It is a characteristic of American mentality. It is an innovation at the application level. Only Chinese people can play with flowers. This is true of Bitcoin, WeChat, and Douyin. I am very optimistic about the Chinese people's ability to innovate comprehensively.
Artificial intelligence has brought about changes in productivity, and blockchain has brought about changes in production relationships, becoming the two cornerstones of future society. In 1999, Microsoft launched the Venus Project to promote the concept of information appliances. Ten years later, mobile phones led the revolution in information appliances, and all of its goals were achieved. Today's Web3, metaverse, artificial intelligence, and blockchain concepts will be a new world in less than a decade, and the future is more clear.
The future is here!
First, the size of the company will shrink further in the future. Reduced to mostly just the core team. Ethereum has a market capitalization of 100 billion US dollars, and its core teamThe Ethereum FoundationLess than 20 people.
Big companies need to be dismantled and restructured. Some people criticized Ma Yun for splitting the company in six. Starting from traditional company theory, they didn't understand what Ma Yun saw at all? In fact, Ma Yun's movements are still very restrained.
Outsourcing will expand further,EthereumEven investments use a combination of outsourcing and self-employment.
Large public clouds will disintegrate, just as mainframes disappeared back then.
Various robots are widely used.
Small companies, individuals, and communities rise.
The boundaries between companies and communities are becoming increasingly blurred, and large companies also need to move into communal operations.
The market value of a fully community-operated company will surpass the current market value of companies with inadequate community operations such as Apple and become No. 1 in the capital market.
There is inertia in society, and there is information asymmetry. Now we need to find a community that's right for us and find a part-time job. Because human values are not replaced, every time you join a community, you sell your worth once. The more communities you join, the more opportunities you have. If the community is right for you, you might be able to make a small fortune.
None of the above discussions on the future have been explained in detail. Carl B Fray (Carl B Fray) of Oxford University and others wrote in the “Future of Employment” article in September 2013 that half of the more than 700 jobs that can be counted will disappear, which is probably a conservative estimate. You see Bitcoin's current value is 500 billion US dollars. Are there managers in the Bitcoin system that maintains the value of Bitcoin? None of the actual management positions exist. However, it is still not an ideal structure, and the problems revealed indicate that it still needs to be improved!
February 24, 2023OpenAICEO Sam Ultrman (Sam Altman) An official statement was issued providing a roadmap for the development of general artificial intelligence called super powerful artificial intelligence that surpasses human intelligence. Although the statement was very careful, I felt cold in my back and back when I read it. Singularity 2045, hereLi KaifuThe opinion of Mr. And Ottaman thinks it will be sooner.
If you think about our initial analysis of humans and artificial intelligence, it will somewhat reassure us that humans still have advantages. Old jobs are gone, and new ones are needed because people won't disappear. The more innovations there will be, the more new jobs will be, and with the support of artificial intelligence, production efficiency will be higher. Reforms must greatly increase and liberate productivity. This is the most valuable basic experience of China's 40-year reform path. Artificial intelligence will create more wealth, and those who master artificial intelligence will be richer, but the poor are also rich, because blockchain may make the world transparent and fair. Interested readers can search for articles on the chainless community (chainless, hk).
Author: Zhu Weisha
