[Comparable to Daily News Picks] Morgan Stanley plans to launch a crypto wallet in the second half of 2026; Trump says he has decided on a candidate for the chairman of the Federal Reserve; Arthur Hayes: BTC will reach $1 million; The New York Times: Trump says there are no plans to pardon SBF

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【Morgan StanleyA digital wallet is scheduled to be launched in the second half of 2026]

Comparatively, according to Barron's, Morgan Stanley plans to launch a crypto wallet in the second half of 2026 to support tokenized assets. Earlier this week, the investment bank submitted a registration statement for its BTC, ETH, and SOL-based ETF.

Jed Finn, head of wealth management at Morgan Stanley, told Barron's: “This actually shows that the way financial services infrastructure works is about to change. Over time, as our infrastructure grows, we will be able to better integrate traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystems.”

In September of last year, Morgan Stanley participated in ZeroHash's $104 million D-2 funding round. The partnership will enable the e-Trade platform to trade BTC, ETH, and SOL. Zerohash is expected to launch the service in the first half of 2026.

[Trump says it has been decidedFederal Reserve[Chairman candidate]

Comparing news, US President Trump said in an exclusive interview with the “New York Times” that he has decided who to nominate as the next chairman of the Federal Reserve, but did not reveal the candidate. “I have a decision in my mind,” he said, “but I haven't talked to anyone yet.” When asked about his chief economic adviser Hassett, Trump said “I don't want to say it,” but he called Hassett “definitely one of my favorite people.”

Whoever Trump chooses, the next chairman of the Federal Reserve will take over an institution at a critical moment, at the center of the president's unprecedented pressure campaign to drastically reduce interest rates. According to Kalshi, the prediction market, the probability that Kevin Walsh will be elected chairman of the Federal Reserve is currently 41%, Kevin Hassett is 39%, and Christopher Waller 12%.

【Arthur Hayes: BTC will reach $1,000,000]

Comparing news, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes posted on the X platform that the price of BTC will reach $1 million.

[The New York Times: Trump Says There Are No Plans to Pardon SBF]

Comparing news, US President Donald Trump said in an interview with the New York Times that although the imprisoned former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) had tried to get a pardon, he had no plans to pardon him.

SBF was convicted in 2023 on multiple fraud and conspiracy charges during Biden's administration, for stealing billions of dollars of customer funds from its now-bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX. He is currently serving 25 years in prison and is trying to appeal.

[BeautyCFTCratifyingBitnomial[Online prediction market business]

In comparison, the US derivatives trading and clearing platform Bitnomial received a “Letter of No Objection” from the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on January 8 to launch predictive market products based on digital asset price trends and macroeconomic indicators in the US. Users can participate in relevant contract transactions through their exchanges and clearing houses to predict and hedge risks against the crypto market and macroeconomic developments.

Previously includedPolymarket, PredictIT,LedgerX、DraftKings及GeminiMany other institutions have successively obtained similar licenses. This series of trends is seen as an important sign that the US supports predicting market developments under the compliance framework.

It is worth noting that although this approval was completed during the term of the new CFTC Chairman Mike Selig, the “No Objection Letter” is only a non-binding license at the agency's staff level and does not constitute a formal regulatory approval of the business model. Despite this, this development means that competition in the US compliance forecasting market will further intensify.

[Carson Wealth Management Analyst: BTC may continue to trade sideways this year, waiting for institutional funding to break down]

Comparing news, Bitcoin has continued to fluctuate in the 85,000-90,000 US dollar range recently, and many analysts believe that the sideways trend may continue. Hashdex pointed out that in the short term, it is necessary to focus on potential catalysts such as the development of US monetary policy or crypto legislation.

Jim Ferraioli, an analyst at Carson Wealth Management, said, “As far as cryptocurrencies are concerned, this year is likely to be relatively dull. From a low in November 2022 to an intraday high of $126,000 in October last year, Bitcoin has risen eight times in three years, and the market is still absorbing this increase. Currently, it is mainly driven by ETF funds, but real institutional investors have yet to enter the market on a large scale. Once the relevant legislation is in place, this may be the next driving force for the continued rise in the price of Bitcoin.”

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