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[Wall Street Journal: US-Iran cease-fire mediation is at an impasse; Iran is unwilling to meet; Qatar refuses to act as mediator]

Comparing the news, according to the Wall Street Journal, according to officials and mediators familiar with the relevant situation, Qatar refused to act as a key mediator of a potential cease-fire agreement between the US and Iran, making efforts to find a way out of negotiations even more complicated.

A relevant source revealed that Qatar told US officials last week that the country had no intention of playing a key role in the mediation or leading related work. Mediators said earlier on Friday local time that the latest round of efforts by countries in the region led by Pakistan to promote a cease-fire between the US and Iran has reached an impasse. The mediator said that Iran has officially informed the mediators that it is unwilling to meet with US officials in Islamabad for the next few days, and that the US request is unacceptable.

The mediator also said that Turkey and Egypt are still working to find a solution to the problem and are considering new venues for talks, including Doha or Istanbul, the capital of Qatar, while also considering new proposals to break the impasse. Also, according to Iranian media Fars News, sources said that Iran has rejected the 48-hour cease-fire proposal proposed by the United States.

[J.P. Morgan: Q1 crypto capital flows fell to $11 billion, just one-third of last year's year]

Comparing news, according to JPMorgan's analysis, the digital asset capital flow in the first quarter of 2026 was about US$11 billion, only about one-third of the same period last year, indicating a marked slowdown in market momentum. At the current pace of annualization, the annual capital flow may be around $44 billion, far below the historical high of about $130 billion in 2025.

In terms of capital structure, the main sources of inflows this quarter were corporate balance sheet allocations (in particular, companies such as Strategy continued to buy Bitcoin) and cryptocurrency investment funds, while the participation of traditional investors (including institutions and retail investors) declined markedly. Furthermore, CME Bitcoin futures positions weakened, reflecting a negative shift in institutional demand; spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs experienced capital outflows in January, and although there was a return in March, the overall situation is still weak. Analysts believe that the current market shows the structural characteristics of “a few large capital dominates” rather than extensive capital flows back.

[Agency: The US labor market is still weak, and there is a 40% chance of falling into recession]

Comparing news, Lydia Boussour, senior economist at EY-Parthenon, said that despite a strong rebound in US employment data for March, the labor market is still weak. She believes that against the backdrop of an uncertain policy environment, enterprises are becoming more cautious, recruitment intentions are cooling down, and companies are increasingly inclined to protect profit margins and respond by increasing productivity rather than expanding employment.

“Looking ahead, we expect the labor market to be largely frozen in 2026, characterized by selective recruitment, limited wage growth, and strategic staffing adjustments while the labor supply remains historically tight.” Boussour expects employment growth to be slightly below the break-even level, and the unemployment rate will gradually rise to around 4.7%. “Given the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, downside risks predominate, and the probability of a recession is 40%,” she added.

[Schwab Crypto will launch “Schwab Crypto” crypto trading account]

Comparing news, Charles Schwab Wealth Management announced that it will launch a “Schwab Crypto” crypto trading account to allow users to directly trade Bitcoin and Ethereum. The account is built and provided by Charles Schwab Premier Bank, SSB, and is open to the entire US except New York State and Louisiana.

Carson Wealth Management previously stated that it will provide Bitcoin and Ethereum trading services in early 2026.

[ZachXBT Releases “Circle Is Not an Archive”: Freezing USDC Is Slow Amid Many Major Security Incidents]

Comparing news, on-chain detective ZachXBT released “Circle as an Inactive File” on the X platform, alleging that it has made more than $420 million of potential errors in compliance enforcement since 2022. According to it, stablecoin issuer Circle failed to freeze the funds involved in the case in a number of major security incidents in a timely manner, including Drift Protocol (April 2026, loss of US$280 million), SwapNet (January 2026, loss of US$16 million), Examples such as Cetus Protocol (May 2025, loss of $223 million). Furthermore, in incidents such as Mango Markets, Nomad Bridge, Ledger supply chain attacks, and GMX, there were similar delays or unimplemented freezes.

In contrast, peers such as Tether and Paxos have responded faster in some cases. ZachXBT pointed out that although Circle has freeze and blacklist functions and is regulated by the US, it is still slow to respond to many enforcement and industry requests, leading to significant loss of funds. He emphasized that the relevant statistics only cover disclosure of major events, the actual scale or higher, and questioned Circle's actual clients in compliance enforcement.

[US agriculture surpassed the Wall Street Journal's 10-year historical forecast range in March]

Comparing news, the US added 178,000 new jobs in March, exceeding the Wall Street Journal's historical forecast range for this indicator. The unemployment rate is 4.3%, within the historical forecast range.

The data in the employment report has received close attention, and investors and economists are currently trying to judge any future interest rate decisions by the Federal Reserve based on this and evaluate the cooling labor market. As far as the March employment report is concerned, the deviation range between the Wall Street Journal's forecast and actual published values over the past ten years was -38,500 to +73,000. The data released on Friday was 178,000, higher than the estimates of 59,000 economists surveyed by the newspaper. The slight decline in the unemployment rate is in the historical range of -0.2 percentage points to +0.1 percentage points.

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