Analysis: Bitcoin hits the $80,000 mark, ETF capital inflows and macro-liquidity are key variables

Comparing news, Bitcoin rose to its highest level since May before the US market on Friday. After hitting $79,400 in the intraday period, it hovered around $78,000, just one step away from the $80,000 key resistance level. The US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a net inflow of $606 million on Thursday, the highest level since May 1, and market risk appetite was boosted.

James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, said that this round of growth is mainly driven by macro factors, not the crypto market's own factors, and Bitcoin is still highly sensitive to changes in liquidity expectations and actual yield. Earlier, US inflation data fell short of expectations and employment data weakened. In addition, the US Treasury announced measures to reduce long-term treasury yields, driving up risk assets.

Butterfill pointed out that $80,000 is currently an important dividing line for Bitcoin. To achieve an effective breakthrough, the market needs to further confirm that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is shifting towards easing. Relevant signals may be released at the Jackson Hole meeting next week.

However, he also warned that if inflation continues to be high or the dollar weakens, the Federal Reserve may be forced to adopt a more cautious policy. Furthermore, the scale of increase in holdings of large holders is still limited, and the market still lacks strong confidence to support continued breakthroughs. Subsequent US spot Bitcoin ETF capital flows and macro-data performance will be key indicators for judging market continuity. (CoinDesk)

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