现货比特币ETF · 2180

The US debt repurchase program unexpectedly boosted Bitcoin by 25%, and the scale of short liquidations reached $4 billion

Comparatively, after the US Treasury expanded the scale of long-term US bond repurchases, the yield on 30-year US bonds fell from a 19-year high of 5.34% to about 5.19%, while Bitcoin rose by about 25% within a few days, breaking through $79,000 at one point. Approximately $4 billion of short cryptocurrency positions were liquidated during this period, further amplifying the gains. The US Treasury Department previously announced that it would increase the scale of the longest term treasury bond repurchase operation from a single $2 billion to $4 billion. Analysts pointed out that this operation is not equivalent to the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing (QE). The main effect is to improve the liquidity of old securities and optimize the debt structure, but the market sees it as a signal of policy support for long-term US bond yields. Analysts believe that the key to Bitcoin's surge is not the buyback itself, but rather that the market's previous short positions were too concentrated. After the long-term decline in US bond yields, bears were forced to close their positions, creating a strong shorting market. Meanwhile, the net inflow of US spot Bitcoin ETFs was around $6.5 billion this week, and Trump once again urged Congress to move forward with the CLARITY Act to further strengthen market risk appetite. CoinEx chief analyst Jeff Ko said that the key right now is whether Bitcoin can hold the 200-day EMA of around $69,000 and turn it from resistance to support. Market participants also warned that if the 10-year US Treasury yield rises above 4.7% and the 30-year yield approaches 5.3%, Bitcoin's current breakthrough may face a new test. Bitcoin has now broken through the 200-day EMA and continues to rise. In the next phase, the market will focus on whether it can maintain its gains in a high-yield environment.

9h ago

Wall Street and Washington Jointly Drive BTC Rally: ETF Inflows and Short Liquidations Accelerate the Market

Comparing news, Bitcoin has continued to rise recently. This round of rise was driven by multiple factors such as the return of institutional capital, improvements in the macro environment, warming US regulatory expectations, and large-scale short liquidations. In terms of capital inflows, US spot Bitcoin ETFs have recently re-attracted institutional capital. On August 19 and 20, US spot BTC ETFs recorded net inflows of approximately $517 million and $606 million, respectively, according to the data. The ETF bought around 7,500 BTC in a single day, the highest level since April, according to CoinShares research director Julio Moreno. The market believes that the US Treasury's expansion of the long-term treasury bond repurchase program weakens the performance of the US dollar, pushes currency depreciation transactions to heat up, and further flows of capital to Bitcoin and gold. Meanwhile, the Trump administration's push for legislation on the structure of the crypto market has also lessened investors' concerns about regulatory uncertainty. Furthermore, the US Congress is advancing the construction of crypto regulatory frameworks such as the Clarity Act to clarify the responsibilities of the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) in digital asset regulation. Analysts believe that Bitcoin currently has a high level of regulatory certainty, and the relevant legislation's direct impact on BTC is limited, but it can help reduce the regulatory risk premium for the entire crypto market. The rise in the market also triggered large-scale short positions to be closed. The data shows that over the past two to three days, the crypto market has liquidated more than $40 billion, of which around $2.7 billion was liquidated in a single day, then another $1.2 billion was liquidated. Analysts say that this round of shortfall has become one of the biggest shortfall recovery events in the crypto market recently. Market participants believe that if institutional capital continues to flow in and the regulatory environment is further improved, Bitcoin's upward trend in the medium term may continue.

13h ago

Standard Chartered: Bitcoin may hit $12.6 million by the end of the year, and the previous target of $10 million was too conservative

Comparing news, Geoff Kendrick, global head of digital asset research at Standard Chartered Bank, said that the forecast for Bitcoin to reach $100,000 by the end of the year may be too conservative, and the market is likely to challenge the historic high of $126,000 again before the end of the year. Geoff Kendrick said on Friday that the recent rise in Bitcoin was mainly driven by short liquidations, while cash inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have also begun to recover. Due to the low size of open positions in the current market, more investors may re-enter the market as prices rise, providing further impetus to the market. “For the first time this year, there was a risk that my year-end $100,000 forecast might be underestimated.” Kendrick said. Geoff Kendrick believes that Bitcoin's rebound momentum may accelerate further after October 6. Meanwhile, many market participants also believe that the bear market may be nearing its end. Swan Bitcoin CEO Cory Klippsten (Cory Klippsten) previously stated that Bitcoin may bottom out in October; 10x Research founder Markus Thielen (Markus Thielen) believes that if August closes at $63,000, it may confirm the formation of a bear market bottom. This article is sponsored by GENG, Build Your Fortune on GENG (https://geng.one)

1d agoburnking

Analysis: Bitcoin hits the $80,000 mark, ETF capital inflows and macro-liquidity are key variables

Comparing news, Bitcoin rose to its highest level since May before the US market on Friday. After hitting $79,400 in the intraday period, it hovered around $78,000, just one step away from the $80,000 key resistance level. The US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a net inflow of $606 million on Thursday, the highest level since May 1, and market risk appetite was boosted. James Butterfill, head of research at CoinShares, said that this round of growth is mainly driven by macro factors, not the crypto market's own factors, and Bitcoin is still highly sensitive to changes in liquidity expectations and actual yield. Earlier, US inflation data fell short of expectations and employment data weakened. In addition, the US Treasury announced measures to reduce long-term treasury yields, driving up risk assets. Butterfill pointed out that $80,000 is currently an important dividing line for Bitcoin. To achieve an effective breakthrough, the market needs to further confirm that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is shifting towards easing. Relevant signals may be released at the Jackson Hole meeting next week. However, he also warned that if inflation continues to be high or the dollar weakens, the Federal Reserve may be forced to adopt a more cautious policy. Furthermore, the scale of increase in holdings of large holders is still limited, and the market still lacks strong confidence to support continued breakthroughs. Subsequent US spot Bitcoin ETF capital flows and macro-data performance will be key indicators for judging market continuity. (CoinDesk) This article is sponsored by GENG, Build Your Fortune on GENG (https://geng.one)

1d agoburnking

Bernstein: Bitcoin's shock to $80,000 was driven by liquidity, ETF funding flows have picked up

Comparative news, according to The Block, analysts at Bernstein believe that Bitcoin's rebound over the past two days may mark a shift in market momentum, behind which is an improvement in the liquidity environment, a recovery in ETF demand, and friendly regulation. Bitcoin hit $79,500 on Friday and then fell back to about $78,000. Analysts linked this round of rebound to the US Treasury's announcement to increase repurchases of long-term treasury bonds, believing that liquidity expansion has always been beneficial to Bitcoin. Furthermore, Ethereum outperformed Bitcoin in this round of rebound, which analysts attributed to ETH's higher exposure to stablecoins, tokenization, and real assets. Spot Bitcoin ETF capital flows have changed from net outflows in May and June to net inflows of $1.6 billion this week, and the management scale has risen to over $85 billion; Strategy holdings have changed to surplus of over $2 billion, and cash reserves can cover 2.8-year dividend expenses. Bernstein also mentioned that regardless of whether the much-publicized “CLARITY Act” (which will be subject to a procedural vote on September 15) is passed, the SEC and CFTC are expected to speed up the legislative process in areas such as native token issuance, equity tokenization, perpetual contracts, computing power derivatives, and predictive markets. This article is sponsored by GENG, Build Your Fortune on GENG (https://geng.one)

1d agoburnking

Spot Bitcoin ETF's single-day turnover exceeded 5.3 billion US dollars, and BlackRock contributed more than 4.4 billion

In comparison, according to Watcher.Guru monitoring data, today's spot Bitcoin ETF turnover has exceeded 5.3 billion US dollars. Product turnover was as follows: BlackRock (BlackRock) $4.438 billion, Fidelity $438 million, Grayscale $209 million, Bitwise $107 million, ARK Invest $72.895 million, and VanEck $32.842 million. The remaining product turnover was: Morgan Stanley $14.8016 million, Franklin $11.1747 million, Invesco $5.5934 million, Valkyrie $1.525 million, WisdomTree $6001 million, and Hashdex $269 million, respectively. BlackRock accounts for more than 80% of all spot Bitcoin ETFs in a single day and continues to dominate the market.

1d ago

Bitcoin's rebound may just be a blood sacrifice for bears after bursting $1.1 billion overnight

Author: Shenchao TechFlow Original title: BTC's largest single-day short liquidation in history: $1.1 billion of short funds evaporated overnight, but shouting back is too early for every escape from death, requiring empty sacrifices. Bitcoin's intraday volume skyrocketed last night, once approaching the $70,000 mark. While the investment community is full of buoyancy, what you might not know is that last night was the largest single-day short liquidation in crypto history. The network's single-day bears rallied over 1.1 billion US dollars, breaking historical records in a fractured manner. The $1.1 billion bears were tightened overnight, breaking the crypto history record. On the night of August 19, BTC started around $64,000 and rose about 7% in an hour, reaching an intraday high of $69,970, just one step away from the 70,000 mark. This is the highest price since early June and the biggest one-day increase since March. The sharp rise was accompanied by blood washing in the contract market. According to public contract data, the entire network closed out about US$1,345 million in the past 24 hours, involving 105,000 traders, of which short orders were about US$1,191 million, and the long ones were only 153 million. In the most intense hour, the entire network sold out $1,194 million, with bears accounting for 93.5%. By currency type, Bitcoin contract bears were liquidated by about $662 million in 24 hours, while Ethereum bears were about $366 million. Leveraged positions that bet on falling were uprooted almost at the same time. Several whale positions on Hyperliquid totaling nearly $200 million (large highly leveraged companies) have also been completely liquidated. The liquidation itself will speed up the market. A strong bearish position means being forced to buy back up. The higher the price, the more explosive the higher the higher the higher the higher the higher the higher the higher the higher the price, forming a self-reinforcing feedback loop. At the same time, judging from multiple data sources, this is the largest Bitcoin shorting settlement in a single day. The White House summit was only the trigger; the catalyst came from the bond market attributing the surge to the combined benefits of the two. One is the message side. On August 19, Trump met with crypto industry executives such as Coinbase, Kraken's parent company Payward, and Blockchain.com at the White House, and the market's optimism about the shift in regulation heats up. The other one is lower level. On the same day, the US Treasury Department announced a direct doubling of the liquidity support for long-term treasury bond repurchases, raising the upper limit of a single operation from 2 billion US dollars to at least 4 billion US dollars, effective September 9. In the crypto community's view, this is a more tangible sign than the summit: macro liquidity is loosening in the direction of risky assets. The data also confirms institutional buying. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs had a net inflow of $297.6 million on Monday and another $189 million on Tuesday; funding rates have risen to a 20-month high. The bulls are crowded, and the bears are even more crowded. Once the price starts, a strong pedal will automatically be relayed. The last big bear liquidation dates back to 5.19, and old chives must remember “5.19” in May 2021: China clearly prohibited financial institutions and payment institutions from carrying out virtual currency-related business. Amidst the panic, Bitcoin hit more than 40,000 US dollars to around 30,000 US dollars in one day, and the entire network closed out about 7 billion US dollars in 24 hours, setting a historical record at the time. The 5.19 collapse liquidated bulls, and about $7.56 billion in long leveraged positions were instantly washed away. However, over the next few days, in the midst of panic, a large number of traders frantically leveraged at the bottom to chase the sky. As a result, there was an extremely violent retaliatory backlash. According to K33 Research quoting Coinglass data, short positions of approximately $757 million in a single day were instantly washed away, making it the largest day for BTC perpetual short settlements in history. And that record was broken just yesterday. After the liquidation of top bears, the market is often polished for a few weeks, and the liquidation of top bears is often a sign that the mid-term phased bottom has been completely consolidated. Positions are cleared after deleveraging, and macro-liquidity is transferred to encryption, and it takes weeks of cold washing and energy in the middle. Will this time be the same? Bitcoin is currently around $69,200, and the 24-hour increase narrowed to 7.6% (as of the morning of August 20). Sentiment indicators are still hesitating: the fear and greed index is 46, which is still in the fear zone; the probability that Bitcoin will reach 70,000 this month on the Polymarket has jumped to about 70% from before the surge. Axel Rudolph, IG's chief technical analyst, observes: Bitcoin is moving towards $70,000, driven by bears' recovery, indicating that buyers are...

2d agoburnking#Bitcoin

Wall Street Q2 holdings revealed: as institutions fall and buy more, ETH outperforms BTC across the board

Source: ChainCatcher Author: Zhou Original title: Q2 Wall Street Institutional Crypto Positions: Most institutions bucked the trend, and ETH exposure completely outperformed BTC in the second quarter. ETF capital flows and institutional behavior were decoupled, and the institutionalization of crypto assets deepened; at the same time, institutional differences over crypto-related stock targets are also getting bigger. August 14 is the legal deadline for the US SEC to require institutional investors to submit Q2 13F forms. After the centralized disclosure of documents, Wall Street's crypto holdings were once again spread out on the table. There was a clear contrast between institutional movements and currency price trends this season. The price of Bitcoin fell by about 14.2%, while crypto holdings declared by institutions increased. According to Bitcoin Strategy's calculation of 13F data, institutional Bitcoin holdings increased 7.5% from about 498,000 to about 536,000, up 7.5% month-on-month, while total ETF holdings fell from about 1.297,000 to about 1,211,000 during the same period. According to SosoValue data, the US spot Bitcoin ETF continued to make net redemptions in the second quarter, with net outflows of about 2.4 billion and 4.5 billion US dollars in a single month in May and June, respectively. Among them, June set the worst monthly record since listing. The Ethereum ETF also had a cumulative net outflow of around $700 million over the same period. At the same time, the chips are concentrated on the head. The number of institutions declaring Bitcoin holdings dropped from about 2,000 to about 1,900. According to Bloomberg data, as of August 13, the number of institutional holders of an IBIT product reached about 1,500, with a net worth of about US$47.35 billion. The growth rate of Ethereum on the bank side completely outperformed Bitcoin. Previously, ChainCatcher wrote in the first quarter position review: Institutional interest in Ethereum's allocation is increasing, and Jane Street, Wells Fargo, and J.P. Morgan Chase all added Ethereum ETFs during the outflow phase. In the second quarter, this sign was confirmed on the bank side. According to DWF Labs estimates, in terms of the number of corresponding crypto assets, Morgan Stanley's exposure to BTC increased 3.7% month-on-month and ETH exposure increased 18.6% in the second quarter. J.P. Morgan's BTC exposure increased 12.2%, and ETH exposure increased 67.3%. Both banks are growing at a significantly higher rate of ETH than BTC. The individual level is more intuitive. Morgan Stanley's ETHA increased by about 202% to 4.6 million shares, J.P. Morgan's ETHA increased by about 338% to nearly 1.17 million shares, and Bank of America ETHA increased from about 67,500 shares to about 1.98 million shares, about 29 times the previous one. But in fact, there was an overall net outflow of Ethereum spot ETFs in the second quarter. According to SosoValue data, there was still a net inflow of about 356 million US dollars in April, net outflows of about 541 million and 529 million US dollars in May and June respectively, and a total net outflow of about 714 million US dollars in the second quarter. Jane Street bought it back. Hedge funds moved their positions into options. Last season, Jane Street cut IBIT holdings by about 71%. The market once speculated that it was bearish on Bitcoin. This quarter, it reversed IBIT and added back about 24.9 million shares, a sharp increase of about 324% over the previous quarter, making it one of the biggest buyers of the quarter. Its current spot Bitcoin ETF exposure is approximately $9.9 billion, of which approximately $828 million is in IBIT. As an authorized participant and market maker, its end-of-quarter inventory is related to redemptions and hedging, and a large amount on spot is not equal to a directional bet. It is worth noting that 13F only reported a long spot volume at the end of the quarter. If options were added, the image of several institutions would also reverse. Global macro hedge fund Brevan Howard cut spot IBIT from 24.3 million shares to 7.21 million shares in the second quarter, reducing its holdings by about 70.4%. But it also holds a call option corresponding to approximately 7.23 million IBIT shares and a put option of 5.27 million shares. Graham Capital reduced its current IBIT from about 926,000 shares to 259,000 shares, reducing its holdings by about 72%, while holding down options corresponding to about 1.74 million IBIT shares, with a declared value of about $57.94 million. Multi-strategy giant Millennium reduced current IBIT from about 19.29 million shares to 9.69 million shares, reducing holdings by about...

3d ago22#Wall Street #Bitcoin

VanEck: 8 out of 12 capitulation indicators light up, Bitcoin pullback may be nearing its end

Comparing news, VanEck said that Bitcoin's pullback, which has continued for nearly 11 months, may be nearing its end and may enter the accumulation phase. Researchers such as Patrick Bush, senior investment analyst at VanEck and Matthew Sigel, head of digital asset research, pointed out that 8 of the 12 indicators in its “Bitcoin Capitulation Check” are already in the capitulation range. In the past three months, all 12 indicators have once fallen into the surrender zone. Researchers believe that these readings show that the market has gone through a phase similar to “Bitcoin price capitulation” and may currently be approaching or entering a period of accumulation. As of Tuesday, Bitcoin was trading at around $64,700. Since the beginning of June, Bitcoin has generally fluctuated between $58,000 and $66,500, which is still about 48% below its all-time high of around $126,300 set in October 2025. Meanwhile, the US spot Bitcoin ETF just recorded the strongest single-day capital inflow since the beginning of May, providing some support to the market. However, long-term holders sold around 356,000 BTC in the past month, reducing their share of supply holdings to less than 60%, indicating that the market structure is still in the rebalancing stage.

3d ago

Jane Street reveals holding more than $990 million in Bitcoin ETF

Comparatively, according to Bitcoin Magazine, Wall Street giant Jane Street revealed in a filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) that it holds more than $990 million in Bitcoin ETF-related assets. The disclosure shows Jane Street's large-scale allocation of spot Bitcoin ETFs as a traditional financial institution, further reflecting the trend of institutional capital continuing to flow into the Bitcoin market.

4d ago