Bernstein: South Korea's semiconductor equipment imports are divided, and AI storage investment is still being transmitted
Comparatively, Bernstein (Bernstein) analyst David Dai and others said in a report released on June 15 that South Korea's semiconductor equipment imports fell 5% month-on-month in May, but the year-on-year growth rate rose further to 39% since the beginning of the year. The bank believes that import data is strongly correlated with the combined capital expenditure of Samsung and SK hynix. Although the capital expenditure of the two companies declined sequentially in the first quarter, this more reflected seasonal factors and the pace of infrastructure investment in the early period, and subsequent spending is expected to recover. According to the report, South Korea's imports of lithography equipment from the Netherlands reached 928 million euros in May, an increase of 28% month-on-month and an increase of about 150% year-on-year, the second highest level in the second month of the quarter since records began. Bernstein estimates that ASML's second-quarter system sales in Korea were around 2.31 billion euros, more than double the previous year. Analysts say this trend may be supported by DRAM capacity expansion and the accelerated introduction of 1c nodes, which require more intense lithography equipment. The test equipment also gave a positive signal. South Korea's imports of test machines from Japan and Malaysia increased 103% year over year in May and up 5% month over month. Bernstein's regression model shows that Advantest's sales in Korea may have increased 84% month-on-month in the second quarter, which is significantly higher than the market's expectations of a 3% month-on-month increase in overall revenue. However, not all equipment vendors have the same strong data. Imports of Korean fab equipment related to Tokyo Electron fell 27% month-on-month in May. Bernstein expects the company's sales in South Korea to fall 15% month-on-month in the second quarter, below market expectations for its revenue to remain flat month-on-month. Bernstein maintained the outperforming market ratings of ASML, Advantest, Tokyo Electron, Samsung Electronics, and SK hynix. The report suggests that the storage investment cycle brought about by AI is still being transmitted to the upstream equipment chain. Among them, lithography, testing, and the expansion of advanced DRAM production are the most prominent.









