Data: Polymarket's probability of “BTC hitting $80,000 for the rest of August” falls to 43%, down 19% in 24 hours

Comparing news, predictive market tool monitoring showed that the probability that “BTC will hit $80,000 for the rest of August” on Polymarket dropped to 43%, down 19% in 24 hours. Furthermore, the probability that the rise would hit $85,000 fell to 12%, a 24-hour decline of 7%.

According to settlement rules, the market is based on the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Within the month specified in the title (00:00 on the 1st day of the month to 23:59 EST on the last day of the month), if any 1-minute K-line high price is equal to or higher than the price specified in the title, it will be settled immediately as Yes; otherwise, no. This market is based only on Binance BTC/USDT's 1-minute K-line High price, and prices on other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets are not included.

In terms of market conditions, Bitcoin once approached $80,000 on Friday, hitting a high of about $79,500, then fell over the weekend. Recently, it fell below 76,000 US dollars for a short time, and has now rebounded to around 76,000 US dollars.