
Why is capital chasing AI Native and ignoring the old Internet
Capital doesn't reward being old-fashioned, not because old-fashioned people are at fault. The old part is clearly priced. There is no bad information, so there is no excess profit. Global venture capital was $510 billion in the first half of 2026, surpassing $44 billion for the full year of 2025 in one and a half months. More than 70% have entered AI; OpenAI and Anthropic took 217 billion dollars, accounting for 43%. With that much money, you'd think everyone could share a little bit. The truth is that distribution is more extreme than total volume, and the first sieve doesn't screen the industry, it screens people. The category that has been screened out now has an unkind name: the internet is old. Let's just say one thing: the “old man” in this article has nothing to do with age. It refers to a set of methodologies that have been formed in the mobile internet cycle, have been tested over and over, and have brought huge returns to holders. The person holding it may be 45 years old or 32 years old. It was this methodology that was being repriced, not the year of birth. Confusing these two things is Lao Deng's most common mistake and one of the most comfortable mistakes — because if the problem is someone else's age discrimination, you don't need to change a single word. 01 What is AI Native The term has been misused. They can use ChatGPT not called AI native, nor AI in the company name, let alone in their twenties. There are three things that really separate people. First, the starting point is a model, not a requirement. The order in which Lao Deng makes a product is: look at what the user wants, write down the requirements, and find technology to implement it. The order of AI natives is reversed: first figure out what level the model is capable of today and what step it is likely to reach tomorrow, and then move from this capability boundary to the external product. The former uses the model as a tool, and the latter uses the model as the foundation. There was no difference between these two kinds of things made by humans in the first edition; by the third edition, there was a difference of one species. Article 2. The default unit of an organization is not a person. The division of labor in the Internet age is the division of one thing into ten people. AI Native's division of labor is to take ten things from one person and add a bunch of agents. The CEO of a domestic application company said that the team consists of less than ten people, but a large number of AI work at night, and the first thing employees do every morning is check the work the AI handed in the night before. Cursor's side is even more extreme. Public reports mention that the company doesn't have a product manager; engineers write their own code, talk to users themselves, and participate in recruiting people themselves. Article 3. Information is first-hand. AI Native's input sources are papers, model cards, GitHub issues, original discussions on X, and self-run evals. Lao Deng's input sources are industry summits, closed-door meetings, brokerage reports, interpretation of public accounts, and finding someone to drink coffee with. This one is the least obscure and most lethal; I'll talk about that separately later. I'm satisfied with all three. The 25-year-old is an AI native, and so is the 45-year-old. I'm not satisfied with the three rules; I'm still an old man at the age of 25. AI natives are a state, not an age group. The trouble is that tickets in this state are works, not resumes. 02 The two lists spread the results of this round on the table. These are two lists. The first one is an all-AI native company. Their valuations are not rising; they are exchanging orders of magnitude. List 1 · Upstream OpenAI raised $122 billion in a single round of financing in Q1 2026, followed by $852 billion, the largest private equity financing in history. Anthropic Q2 had a single round of $65 billion, after investing $965 billion, accounting for about half of the total global venture capital for the quarter; the revenue operating rate in May reached about $47 billion. DeepSeek raised about 70 billion yuan in its first round of financing in May 2026. In April of the same year, Liang Wenfeng raised his direct shareholding from 1% to 34%, and controlled a total of about 84.29% of the shares through related entities. The Dark Side of the Moon (Kimi) was estimated at $4.3 billion in December 2025; it went for three consecutive rounds from January to February 2026 to reach 18 billion; the D round in May was about $2 billion, breaking 20 billion dollars after the investment; the July round surpassed $3.5 billion, after investing 35 billion dollars; the pre-IPO target was 50 billion dollars. ARR broke 100 million in March, 200 million in May, and held steady at 300 million US dollars in June, with APIs accounting for more than 70%. Smart Spectrum · MiniMax successively landed in Hong Kong stocks in early 2026, with a market capitalization exceeding 100 billion yuan. It was one of the first major model companies listed in China. The second one...





