Say goodbye to the altcoin boom cycle, Delphi Digital's top ten predictions for the 2026 crypto market

sourceBitpushNews·Wendy·05:23 编辑
Say goodbye to the altcoin boom cycle, Delphi Digital's top ten predictions for the 2026 crypto market

Source: Delphi Digital

10 Predictions for 2026

Compiled and organized by: bitPushNews


Perpetual contract exchanges (Perp DeXs) will become the new Wall Street; AI agents (Agents) will enable autonomous transactions; and exchanges will evolve into “Everything Apps” (Everything Apps).

Here are 10 key predictions from our 2026 report:

1. AI agents begin to implement autonomous transactions

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The x402 protocol allows any API to manage access through cryptographic payments. When an AI agent needs a service, it can pay instantly with stablecoins without a shopping cart or subscription. The ERC-8004 standard increases trust by creating a reputation registry for agents, which includes historical performance data and collateral.

Combine the two, and you get an autonomous agency economy. Users can delegate a travel planning agent, which automatically subcontracts to a flight search agent (pays data fees via x402) and then completes the booking on-chain — without manual intervention.

2. Perpetual contract exchanges (Perp DEXs) devour traditional finance

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Traditional finance (TradFi) is expensive because of the fragmentation of its structure: transactions are carried out on exchanges, settlement is carried out through clearing houses, and escrow is left to banks. Blockchain compresses all of this into a smart contract.

Currently, Hyperliquid is building a native lending feature. Perpetual contract exchanges will likely simultaneously act as brokers, exchanges, custodians, banks, and clearing houses. Competitors such as @Aster_DEX, @Lighter_xyz, and @paradex are also catching up at an accelerated pace.

3. Predict the market upgrade to traditional financial infrastructure

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Thomas Peterffy, Chairman of Interactive Brokers (Interactive Brokers), defines the forecasting market as a real-time information layer for portfolios. Early demand from Yingtou Securities focused on weather contracts related to energy, logistics, and insurance risks.

2026 will open up new categories: stock event markets for financial reports that exceed expectations and performance guidelines; markets for macro-indicators such as CPI and Federal Reserve decisions; and cross-asset relative value markets. Traders holding tokenized Apple Shares (AAPL) can hedge financial risks through simple binary contracts without having to research complex options. It is predicted that the market will be a derivative of a class of “first class citizens.”

4. The ecosystem recovers stablecoin proceeds from issuers

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Last year, by controlling the issuance channel alone, Coinbase captured more than $9 billion in USDC reserve revenue. Public chains such as Solana, BSC, Arbitrum, Aptos, and Avalanche have a total annual fee revenue of about $800 million, yet their networks carry more than $30 billion in USDC and USDT. This means that platforms that promote the use of stablecoins lose more revenue to issuers than they earn in handling fees.

That is now changing. Hyperliquid has run a competitive bidding process for USDH and has now captured half of the reserve proceeds for its aid fund. Ethena's “stablecoin-as-a-service” model is being adopted by Sui, MegaETH, and Jupiter. The profits that were originally passively enjoyed by established issuers are being taken back by platforms that create demand.

5. DeFi conquers unsecured loans

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Although DeFi lending protocols have billions of dollars in hedging (TVL), almost all require excessive collateral. And zKTLS (Zero-Knowledge Transport Layer Security) will open new doors. Users can prove that their bank balance exceeds a certain amount without disclosing their account number, transaction history, or real identity.

@3janexyz leverages verified Web2 financial data to provide an instant unsecured USDC credit limit. The algorithm monitors borrowers in real time and adjusts interest rates dynamically. The same framework can also accept AI agents as “credits” based on their historical performance. @maplefinance, @centrifuge, and @USDai_Official are also tackling related areas.

2026 will be the year unsecured loans move from experiments to infrastructure.

6. Onchain FX (Onchain FX) finds a point of fit

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Although USD stablecoins account for 99.7% of the total supply, this may have peaked. Traditional foreign exchange (FX) is a multi-trillion-dollar market, yet it is full of intermediaries, fragmented settlement routes, and expensive processing fees. On-chain forex reduces the entire architecture by turning all currencies into tokenized assets on a shared execution layer, eliminating multiple intermediate links.

Its product market fit point (PMF) is likely to occur in emerging market currency pairs where the traditional forex path is the most expensive and least efficient. These overlooked corridors are where the cryptocurrency value proposition is most clear.

7. Gold and Bitcoin lead “hedge against fiat depreciation” transactions

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Gold surged 60% after we pointed out that it was one of the most interesting charts to watch. Despite record prices, central banks around the world bought more than 600 tons, and China has been the most aggressive buyer among them.

The macro environment supports its continued strengthening: global central banks are cutting interest rates; fiscal deficits will continue until 2027; global M2 supply is reaching new highs; and the Federal Reserve is ending contraction (QT). Gold is usually three to four months ahead of Bitcoin. As currency depreciation becomes a mainstream topic in the 2026 midterm elections, both assets will attract “flight-to-quality” capital flows.

8. The exchange evolved into an “everything app (Everything Apps)”

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Coinbase, Robinhood, Binance, and Kraken aren't just building exchanges; they're building all-purpose apps.

Coinbase has Base as the operating system, the Base App as the interface, USDC earnings as the underlying profit, and derivatives provided by Deribit. Robinhood's gold membership grew 77% year over year and became a retention engine. Binance already operates on the scale of a super app, with over 270 million users and $250 billion in Pay (Pay) transactions. As distribution costs become cheaper, value will be pooled to platforms that have users. In 2026, winners will begin to win across the board.

9. Privacy infrastructure keeps up with demand

The right to privacy is under pressure. The EU passed the Chat Control Act (Chat Control Act); cash transactions are limited to 10,000 euros; the ECB plans to launch a digital euro with a holding limit of 3,000 euros.

The privacy infrastructure is keeping up. @payy_link is launching a privacy encryption card; @SeismicSys provides protocol-level encryption for fintech companies; @KeetaNetwork implements on-chain KYC without disclosing personal data; and @CantonNetwork provides privacy infrastructure support for large financial institutions. Without a privacy path, stablecoin adoption will run to a ceiling.

10. Altcoin returns remain decentralized

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The “general upward” rebound of the past cycle will no longer exist.

Over $3 billion in tokens are within easy reach. Competition from the AI, robotics, and biotech industries is also increasing. ETF funding flows are highly concentrated in Bitcoin and a few large market cap varieties.

Capital will be pooled towards structural demand: tokens with ETF capital flows, agreements with real revenue and repurchase agreements, and applications with real product market fit points. The winners will focus on teams that can build defensive moats in categories that generate real economic activity.

summed

The crypto industry is entering its next phase. Institutionalization has arrived. Predictive markets, on-chain credit, proxy economies, and stablecoins as infrastructure represent a true paradigm shift.

Cryptocurrency is becoming an infrastructure layer for global finance. Teams that understand this will define the next decade.


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#2026专题#AI#AI代理#Delphi Digital#Perp DEX#交易所#行情专题#观点#预测市场
说明: All Bitpush articles reflect the author's views only and do not constitute investment advice.

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